Essendon v Geelong @ M.C.G.

8.8

23.13

151

Geelong won by 95 points

Blakiston

May

Durham

Hobbs

OUT

Smith

Clohesy

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	81%	31 points	✓	63.6	0.70
Aggregate	81%	31 points	✓	64.3	0.69
	94%	42 points	✓	53.0	0.91
	93%	50 points	✓	44.9	0.90
	92%	43 points	✓	52.4	0.88
	88%	42 points	✓	53.0	0.82
	87%	40 points	✓	55.0	0.80
	85%	37 points	✓	57.6	0.77
Punters	85%	34 points	✓	60.6	0.77
	85%	37 points	✓	57.6	0.76
	84%	37 points	✓	58.1	0.75
	84%	32 points	✓	62.8	0.74
	84%	35 points	✓	60.2	0.74
	83%	29 points	✓	66.2	0.73
	83%	34 points	✓	61.2	0.73
	81%	29 points	✓	65.8	0.69
	79%	26 points	✓	68.8	0.67
	78%	27 points	✓	67.8	0.64
	77%	36 points	✓	59.0	0.62
	77%	28 points	✓	67.0	0.62
	77%	25 points	✓	70.5	0.61
	76%	18 points	✓	76.7	0.61
	76%	29 points	✓	66.3	0.61
	76%	17 points	✓	78.0	0.61
	76%	23 points	✓	72.0	0.60
	71%	22 points	✓	72.7	0.50
	67%	16 points	✓	79.0	0.42
	58%	9 points	✓	86.5	0.22

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.