Fremantle v Sydney
Perth Stadium
9.11
65
9.14
68
Sydney won by 3 points
IN
Voss
Erasmus
Chapman
Bolton
Switkowski
Worner
Reidy
OUT
IN
Bice
Sheldrick
Ladhams
McLean
McInerney
Melican
Paton
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.6 | -0.06 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.3 | -0.11 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.3 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.37 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.2 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 3.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 3.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.