Carlton v Hawthorn
Thursday 20 March 2025 at 8:30 am UTC
M.C.G.

8.12

60

12.8

80

Hawthorn won by 20 points

Hawthorn
64%

IN

Young

Docherty

Curnow

McKay

Evans

OUT

IN

Jiath

Gunston

Scrimshaw

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	13 points	✓	6.7	0.35
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	6.7	0.36
		82%	32 points	✓	12.0	0.71
		76%	18 points	✓	2.2	0.61
		72%	24 points	✓	4.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	1.0	0.50
		69%	19 points	✓	1.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	5.0	0.44
Punters		67%	16 points	✓	4.4	0.42
		66%	17 points	✓	3.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	6.3	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	6.7	0.40
		66%	12 points	✓	8.0	0.39
		65%	11 points	✓	8.9	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	5.0	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	6.4	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	7.7	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	7.9	0.32
		62%	16 points	✓	4.1	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	10.2	0.31
		61%	14 points	✓	6.0	0.28
		61%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	11.0	0.28
		59%	7 points	✓	12.7	0.23
		56%	6 points	✓	14.3	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	14.5	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	15.5	0.15
		50%	0 points	✗	20.1	-0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.