Port Adelaide v Richmond
2025-03-22 16:15:00 +11:00
Adelaide Oval

21.14

140

9.14

68

Port Adelaide won by 72 points

IN

Moraes

Burton

Finlayson

OUT

IN

Fawcett

Smith

Lynch

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		80%	32 points	✓	39.7	0.69
Aggregate		81%	33 points	✓	39.2	0.70
		94%	50 points	✓	21.6	0.92
		91%	40 points	✓	32.0	0.86
Punters		88%	41 points	✓	31.3	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	31.0	0.80
		87%	37 points	✓	35.4	0.79
		86%	40 points	✓	32.0	0.79
		86%	40 points	✓	32.0	0.78
		85%	26 points	✓	45.7	0.77
		84%	29 points	✓	43.2	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	37.4	0.74
		84%	47 points	✓	25.0	0.74
		83%	34 points	✓	37.9	0.72
		82%	37 points	✓	35.2	0.72
		82%	35 points	✓	36.7	0.71
		82%	32 points	✓	39.8	0.71
		81%	29 points	✓	43.0	0.70
		81%	38 points	✓	34.0	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	42.2	0.68
		79%	28 points	✓	44.1	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	45.4	0.65
		78%	30 points	✓	42.0	0.64
		77%	38 points	✓	34.1	0.62
		73%	22 points	✓	49.9	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	52.4	0.55
		68%	15 points	✓	57.5	0.43
		64%	15 points	✓	57.4	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.