Essendon v Adelaide
2025-03-22 13:20:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

15.10

100

25.11

161

Adelaide won by 61 points

IN

Edwards

Menzie

Gresham

Langford

Ridley

OUT

IN

Draper

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		57%	7 points	✓	54.2	0.19
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	54.8	0.19
		77%	22 points	✓	38.7	0.62
		74%	19 points	✓	42.3	0.56
		70%	22 points	✓	39.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	43.8	0.48
		65%	16 points	✓	45.0	0.38
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	47.6	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	50.0	0.33
		61%	10 points	✓	51.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	51.5	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	51.8	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	53.0	0.26
		58%	7 points	✓	54.4	0.22
		57%	6 points	✓	54.6	0.19
		56%	7 points	✓	54.2	0.17
		55%	5 points	✓	56.2	0.13
		53%	3 points	✓	57.9	0.09
		52%	3 points	✓	58.0	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	60.0	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	60.5	0.02
		51%	1 point	✗	62.0	-0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	62.6	-0.05
		53%	6 points	✗	67.4	-0.10
		54%	3 points	✗	64.2	-0.12
		55%	5 points	✗	65.5	-0.14
		55%	4 points	✗	65.0	-0.14
		58%	8 points	✗	69.0	-0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.