Port Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
7.12
54
20.18
138
QUALIFYING FINAL
Geelong won by 84 points
IN
Narkle
McEntee
Dixon
Farrell
Evans
Visentini
OUT
IN
Mullin
Stewart
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 98.7 | -0.51 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 96.9 | -0.47 |
|
|
82% | 32 points | ✗ | 115.6 | -1.45 |
|
|
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 110.1 | -1.07 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 108.1 | -0.98 |
|
Punters
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 102.5 | -0.86 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 103.8 | -0.86 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 102.0 | -0.77 |
|
|
69% | 12 points | ✗ | 96.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 102.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 100.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 22 points | ✗ | 106.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 98.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 98.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 96.5 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 97.2 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 96.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 94.5 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 94.4 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 96.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 91.7 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 92.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 92.3 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 89.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 11 points | ✗ | 95.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 1 point | ✗ | 85.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 88.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 83.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 80.1 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.