Sydney v Greater Western Sydney
2024-09-07 15:20:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

13.10

88

12.10

82

QUALIFYING FINAL

Sydney won by 6 points

IN

McLean

McCartin

Papley

Heeney

Adams

Fox

Francis

Cleary

OUT

IN

Cumming

Ash

Daniels

Brown

Haynes

Thomas

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	9 points	✓	2.5	0.24
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	3.1	0.26
		76%	29 points	✓	23.0	0.60
		67%	16 points	✓	10.4	0.43
		66%	13 points	✓	7.4	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	6.5	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	9.6	0.38
		65%	17 points	✓	10.6	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	5.8	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	4.9	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	4.7	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	4.2	0.30
Punters		61%	9 points	✓	3.4	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	3.1	0.29
		60%	8 points	✓	1.6	0.26
		59%	10 points	✓	3.7	0.25
		59%	5 points	✓	1.0	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	1.8	0.21
		58%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.20
		55%	5 points	✓	1.4	0.15
		55%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	1.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	2.1	0.12
		54%	1 point	✓	5.0	0.11
		53%	2 points	✓	4.0	0.08
		51%	1 point	✓	5.0	0.03
		51%	0 points	✓	6.0	0.03
		54%	2 points	✗	8.2	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.