Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
9.8
62
14.15
99
ELIMINATION FINAL
Hawthorn won by 37 points
IN
Harmes
Macrae
Ugle-Hagan
Jones
OUT
IN
Ward
Mackenzie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.2 | -0.21 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -0.22 |
|
|
66% | 18 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 50.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 49.4 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.7 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 49.1 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 48.9 | -0.44 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.7 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 46.1 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 46.7 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 44.7 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 27.6 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.