Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval
15.12
102
8.6
54
Port Adelaide won by 48 points
IN
Lord
Evans
Burgoyne
Finlayson
Sinn
Lorenz
OUT
IN
Coffield
Khamis
Vandermeer
Jones
Weightman
Baker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 50.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 55.8 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 54.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 54.8 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 54.2 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 53.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 52.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 51.7 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 51.2 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.05 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 49.6 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 47.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 47.6 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 43.8 | 0.12 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 42.9 | 0.18 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 32.9 | 0.39 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.39 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.