Geelong v Hawthorn
2024-07-06 16:35:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

16.14

110

9.5

59

Geelong won by 51 points

IN

Mannagh

Henry

Close

O'Connor

Clark

Knevitt

OUT

IN

Mitchell

Lewis

Breust

Sicily

Ginnivan

Dear

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		56%	6 points	✓	45.1	0.16
Aggregate		58%	7 points	✓	43.8	0.21
		74%	20 points	✓	31.1	0.57
		71%	17 points	✓	33.8	0.50
		70%	16 points	✓	35.5	0.48
		65%	12 points	✓	39.0	0.38
		64%	14 points	✓	37.3	0.36
		63%	9 points	✓	42.0	0.33
Punters		62%	11 points	✓	40.0	0.32
		62%	16 points	✓	35.0	0.31
		62%	15 points	✓	36.0	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	42.0	0.28
		61%	11 points	✓	40.1	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	42.7	0.26
		60%	10 points	✓	41.1	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	42.9	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	42.3	0.23
		58%	6 points	✓	44.8	0.21
		57%	7 points	✓	44.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	45.3	0.19
		57%	3 points	✓	48.4	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	46.0	0.16
		54%	3 points	✓	48.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	48.4	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	49.0	0.08
		51%	2 points	✓	49.0	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	49.7	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	50.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✗	51.8	-0.04
		74%	21 points	✗	72.0	-0.94

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.