Collingwood v Essendon
M.C.G.
12.8
80
13.14
92
Essendon won by 12 points
IN
Long
Dean
Markov
Schultz
Noble
McCreery
Harrison
Sullivan
OUT
IN
Caddy
Shiel
Goldstein
Heppell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.40 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.46 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.94 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 31.5 | -0.92 |
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.68 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.52 |
|
|
64% | 9 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.2 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.36 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.26 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.17 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.