Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval
13.16
94
12.6
78
Adelaide won by 16 points
IN
Taylor
Himmelberg
O'Brien
Walker
Jones
Murphy
Borlase
Strachan
OUT
IN
Cumming
Perryman
Coniglio
O'Halloran
Peatling
Angwin
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.7 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.09 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.3 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 13.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.05 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.13 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.