Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
2024-06-28 19:40:00 +10:00
Gabba

11.20

86

11.15

81

Brisbane Lions won by 5 points

IN

Joyce

Reville

Ashcroft

McKenna

Payne

Brain

OUT

IN

Moniz-Wakefield

Woewodin

Lever

Salem

Bowey

Howes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	29 points	✓	24.1	0.64
Aggregate		77%	27 points	✓	21.6	0.62
		89%	39 points	✓	34.0	0.83
		88%	37 points	✓	32.0	0.81
		86%	34 points	✓	29.3	0.78
		86%	28 points	✓	22.6	0.78
Punters		85%	29 points	✓	23.5	0.77
		85%	37 points	✓	31.7	0.77
		84%	37 points	✓	31.5	0.75
		84%	33 points	✓	28.0	0.75
		82%	33 points	✓	28.0	0.71
		82%	32 points	✓	27.1	0.71
		80%	28 points	✓	23.4	0.68
		80%	41 points	✓	36.0	0.68
		79%	28 points	✓	23.2	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	22.2	0.65
		77%	25 points	✓	20.0	0.63
		77%	28 points	✓	22.8	0.63
		75%	20 points	✓	14.5	0.58
		74%	30 points	✓	25.0	0.57
		72%	22 points	✓	17.1	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	15.5	0.51
		70%	13 points	✓	8.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	13.5	0.48
		67%	18 points	✓	13.2	0.43
		66%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.40
		64%	19 points	✓	14.0	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	7.1	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.