Geelong v Essendon
M.C.G.
16.9
105
9.6
60
Geelong won by 45 points
IN
Humphries
Neale
Knevitt
Clark
Hawkins
Close
Henry
Mullin
OUT
IN
Gresham
Goldstein
Kelly
Menzie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.16 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.02 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 51.7 | -0.24 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 50.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 50.8 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 49.9 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 51.1 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 48.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 45.6 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 45.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 44.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 43.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 38.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
58% | 1 point | ✓ | 44.3 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
71% | 17 points | ✓ | 28.5 | 0.50 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.