Richmond v Carlton
2024-06-30 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.10

70

20.11

131

Carlton won by 61 points

IN

Blight

Banks

Koschitzke

Hopper

Graham

Lynch

Cumberland

Dow

OUT

IN

Fantasia

Pittonet

Cerra

De Koning

Durdin

Boyd

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		84%	36 points	✓	24.9	0.75
Aggregate		84%	36 points	✓	25.1	0.75
		95%	47 points	✓	14.0	0.93
		92%	45 points	✓	16.2	0.88
		91%	39 points	✓	21.8	0.87
		91%	40 points	✓	21.5	0.86
		90%	47 points	✓	14.0	0.85
		89%	41 points	✓	20.0	0.83
Punters		87%	39 points	✓	21.8	0.81
		86%	38 points	✓	22.5	0.79
		86%	40 points	✓	21.0	0.78
		84%	37 points	✓	24.1	0.75
		84%	32 points	✓	28.7	0.75
		84%	27 points	✓	34.4	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	24.6	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	24.9	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	25.8	0.75
		84%	38 points	✓	23.0	0.75
		84%	36 points	✓	24.6	0.74
		83%	39 points	✓	22.0	0.74
		83%	36 points	✓	25.0	0.74
		83%	34 points	✓	27.2	0.73
		83%	47 points	✓	14.0	0.73
		82%	29 points	✓	31.6	0.72
		81%	37 points	✓	23.9	0.70
		81%	27 points	✓	33.8	0.69
		81%	28 points	✓	33.5	0.69
		79%	26 points	✓	35.0	0.66
		77%	37 points	✓	24.0	0.62
		61%	11 points	✓	49.6	0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.