Collingwood v Melbourne
2024-06-10 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

14.5

89

6.15

51

Collingwood won by 38 points

IN

Kreuger

Hoskin-Elliott

Johnson

Parker

OUT

IN

Laurie

Howes

Billings

van Rooyen

Hunter

Tomlinson

Woewodin

Turner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		53%	3 points	✓	34.8	0.09
Aggregate		54%	4 points	✓	34.3	0.11
		65%	13 points	✓	25.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	26.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	26.0	0.36
		60%	7 points	✓	31.0	0.27
		60%	7 points	✓	31.5	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	30.0	0.24
		58%	6 points	✓	32.4	0.20
		57%	8 points	✓	30.4	0.18
		56%	8 points	✓	30.0	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	32.0	0.16
		55%	4 points	✓	33.9	0.14
		55%	10 points	✓	28.0	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	33.0	0.14
		55%	3 points	✓	34.7	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	34.0	0.11
		53%	2 points	✓	35.6	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	35.4	0.08
		52%	4 points	✓	34.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	36.2	0.05
		51%	3 points	✓	34.9	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	37.2	0.03
		50%	0 points	✓	37.7	0.01
		50%	0 points	✓	37.8	0.01
		53%	2 points	✗	40.3	-0.08
		54%	5 points	✗	43.0	-0.10
Punters		54%	4 points	✗	42.2	-0.11
		54%	4 points	✗	41.6	-0.13
		61%	8 points	✗	45.9	-0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.