Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
10.11
71
12.7
79
Richmond won by 8 points
IN
Strachan
Dowling
Hamill
McHenry
Walker
O'Brien
Crouch
Schoenberg
OUT
IN
Ryan
Taranto
Prestia
Bolton
Martin
Pickett
Lefau
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
77% | 28 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -1.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
79% | 30 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -1.25 |
|
|
91% | 49 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -2.47 |
|
|
91% | 42 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -2.40 |
|
|
87% | 31 points | ✗ | 38.8 | -2.00 |
|
|
87% | 41 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.94 |
|
|
86% | 53 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -1.88 |
|
Punters
|
|
86% | 34 points | ✗ | 42.1 | -1.83 |
|
|
85% | 35 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -1.77 |
|
|
84% | 35 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -1.63 |
|
|
83% | 30 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.52 |
|
|
83% | 29 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -1.51 |
|
|
82% | 39 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.47 |
|
|
82% | 38 points | ✗ | 46.3 | -1.47 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -1.21 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
78% | 39 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.17 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -1.17 |
|
|
77% | 29 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -1.15 |
|
|
77% | 22 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -1.11 |
|
|
77% | 24 points | ✗ | 31.8 | -1.11 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 32.9 | -1.06 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -1.04 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 30.8 | -0.93 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.83 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.73 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.71 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.8 | -0.60 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.