Essendon v Carlton
2024-06-09 19:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

9.16

70

15.6

96

Carlton won by 26 points

IN

Setterfield

Goldstein

Redman

Bryan

OUT

IN

Cowan

Durdin

Owies

Fantasia

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	10 points	✓	16.2	0.27
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	15.6	0.30
		70%	18 points	✓	8.0	0.49
		69%	8 points	✓	18.2	0.47
		67%	14 points	✓	11.9	0.42
		66%	17 points	✓	9.0	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	12.0	0.39
		64%	17 points	✓	9.0	0.36
		64%	19 points	✓	7.0	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	12.0	0.36
		64%	9 points	✓	16.6	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	15.5	0.33
		62%	13 points	✓	13.0	0.31
		62%	12 points	✓	14.2	0.31
		61%	14 points	✓	12.0	0.30
Punters		61%	10 points	✓	15.9	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	16.3	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	15.0	0.28
		61%	8 points	✓	17.9	0.28
		60%	9 points	✓	16.8	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	17.1	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	16.5	0.26
		60%	7 points	✓	18.9	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	17.9	0.25
		58%	7 points	✓	19.5	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	19.5	0.20
		57%	8 points	✓	18.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	20.0	0.19
		52%	1 point	✓	25.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	24.3	0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.