Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
10.11
71
17.12
114
Brisbane Lions won by 43 points
IN
Sanders
Khamis
Liberatore
Harmes
Darcy
Garcia
OUT
IN
Answerth
Starcevich
Hipwood
Sharp
Reville
Ryan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 52.9 | -0.33 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
69% | 12 points | ✗ | 55.3 | -0.68 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 57.2 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -0.42 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 53.1 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 53.2 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 51.6 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 50.6 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 51.1 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 48.8 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 49.3 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 47.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✗ | 43.7 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.