Greater Western Sydney v Collingwood
2024-03-09 19:30:00 +11:00
Sydney Showground

18.6

114

11.16

82

Greater Western Sydney won by 32 points

IN

Thomas

Cadman

Wehr

O'Halloran

Haynes

Perryman

Cumming

Lloyd

Callaghan

Keeffe

OUT

IN

Dean

Johnson

Schultz

Lipinski

Howe

Murphy

Ginnivan

Frampton

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	8 points	✓	24.1	0.22
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	26.2	0.18
		72%	15 points	✓	16.9	0.52
		69%	17 points	✓	14.8	0.47
		66%	15 points	✓	17.2	0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	18.0	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	19.0	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	19.0	0.37
		63%	8 points	✓	24.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	20.6	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	22.6	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	23.4	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	22.9	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	22.9	0.25
		58%	13 points	✓	19.1	0.22
Punters		57%	3 points	✓	28.9	0.18
		56%	4 points	✓	27.6	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	28.2	0.15
		54%	1 point	✓	31.0	0.12
		54%	6 points	✓	26.0	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	29.0	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	28.8	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	28.6	0.09
		50%	-1 points	✗	31.0	-0.00
		51%	2 points	✗	33.5	-0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	33.0	-0.03
		52%	0 points	✗	32.0	-0.06
		54%	4 points	✗	36.0	-0.12
		56%	7 points	✗	39.0	-0.17
		60%	8 points	✗	40.0	-0.34

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.