Sydney v Melbourne
2024-03-07 19:30:00 +11:00
S.C.G.

12.14

86

9.10

64

Sydney won by 22 points

IN

Roberts

Fox

Grundy

Jordon

Parker

Mills

Hickey

Wicks

OUT

IN

Howes

Windsor

Laurie

Schache

van Rooyen

Pickett

Hunter

Jordon

McDonald

Smith

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		56%	5 points	✓	17.0	0.15
Aggregate		55%	4 points	✓	17.9	0.13
		68%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.44
		64%	12 points	✓	9.5	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	10.2	0.33
		60%	9 points	✓	13.0	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	13.9	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	13.9	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	15.2	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	13.0	0.24
		59%	5 points	✓	17.0	0.24
		57%	6 points	✓	16.0	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	13.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	16.4	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	16.0	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	17.5	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	17.7	0.14
		54%	3 points	✓	18.6	0.11
		54%	5 points	✓	17.0	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	19.0	0.08
Punters		53%	2 points	✓	19.9	0.08
		52%	1 point	✓	21.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	20.6	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	21.1	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	20.7	0.02
		50%	1 point	✓	21.0	0.01
		50%	1 point	✗	23.4	-0.00
		52%	2 points	✗	24.3	-0.07
		59%	8 points	✗	30.0	-0.29
		61%	12 points	✗	34.2	-0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.