Sydney v Melbourne

S.C.G.
12.14
86
9.10
64

Sydney won by 22 points

IN
Roberts
Fox
Grundy
Jordon
Parker
Mills
Hickey
McLean
OUT
IN
Howes
Windsor
Laurie
Schache
Billings
van Rooyen
Pickett
Hunter
Jordon
Chandler
McDonald
Smith
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
s10
Sydney
56% 5 points ✓17.00.15
Aggregate
Sydney
55% 4 points ✓17.90.13
Data by Josh
Sydney
68% 15 points ✓7.00.44
Winnable
Sydney
64% 12 points ✓9.50.36
AFLalytics
Sydney
63% 12 points ✓10.20.33
Matter of Stats
Sydney
60% 9 points ✓13.00.27
Wheelo Ratings
Sydney
60% 8 points ✓13.90.27
What Snoo Thinks
Sydney
60% 8 points ✓13.90.26
AFL Scorigami
Sydney
59% 7 points ✓15.20.24
Informed Stats
Sydney
59% 9 points ✓13.00.24
footycharts
Sydney
59% 5 points ✓17.00.24
Live Ladders
Sydney
57% 6 points ✓16.00.19
Graft
Sydney
57% 9 points ✓13.00.19
Glicko Ratings
Sydney
57% 6 points ✓16.40.18
Hyperion
Sydney
56% 6 points ✓16.00.17
Massey Ratings
Sydney
56% 5 points ✓17.50.15
Drop Kick Data
Sydney
55% 4 points ✓17.70.14
The Cruncher
Sydney
54% 3 points ✓18.60.11
FMI
Sydney
54% 5 points ✓17.00.10
The Wooden Finger
Sydney
53% 3 points ✓19.00.08
Punters
Sydney
53% 2 points ✓19.90.08
ZaphBot
Sydney
52% 1 point ✓21.00.06
PlusSixOne
Sydney
51% 1 point ✓20.60.04
The Footycast
Sydney
51% 1 point ✓21.10.03
AFL Lab
Sydney
51% 1 point ✓20.70.02
Elo Predicts!
Sydney
50% 1 point ✓21.00.01
Don't Blame the Data
Melbourne
50% 1 point ✗23.4-0.00
Squiggle
Melbourne
52% 2 points ✗24.3-0.07
Cheap Stats
Melbourne
59% 8 points ✗30.0-0.29
Stattraction
Melbourne
61% 12 points ✗34.2-0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 0, 2024