Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
2023-09-09 19:25:00 +10:00
Gabba

19.9

123

11.9

75

QUALIFYING FINAL

Brisbane Lions won by 48 points

IN

McCarthy

Lyons

OUT

IN

Williams

McKenzie

Lycett

Marshall

Boak

Jonas

Hayes

Evans

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	13 points	✓	35.0	0.36
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	35.6	0.35
		72%	20 points	✓	28.4	0.52
		69%	18 points	✓	30.0	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	30.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	32.9	0.45
Punters		68%	14 points	✓	34.3	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	33.0	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	33.4	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	34.5	0.40
		66%	11 points	✓	37.1	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	34.4	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	33.8	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	35.2	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	35.6	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	37.0	0.36
		63%	9 points	✓	39.0	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	35.7	0.31
		61%	15 points	✓	33.0	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	37.2	0.28
		61%	10 points	✓	38.5	0.28
		60%	14 points	✓	34.0	0.26
		59%	12 points	✓	36.0	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	40.0	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	41.0	0.21
		57%	7 points	✓	41.0	0.19
		54%	3 points	✓	44.8	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.