Carlton v Sydney
2023-09-08 19:50:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.8

74

9.14

68

ELIMINATION FINAL

Carlton won by 6 points

IN

Marchbank

Pittonet

Docherty

Cripps

Fisher

Durdin

Dow

Hollands

OUT

IN

Melican

McInerney

Papley

Fox

Stephens

Clarke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.25
Aggregate		59%	9 points	✓	2.6	0.25
		66%	14 points	✓	8.4	0.40
Punters		66%	10 points	✓	3.9	0.40
		66%	9 points	✓	2.7	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	7.5	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	7.7	0.37
		64%	9 points	✓	3.5	0.35
		63%	13 points	✓	7.3	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	4.1	0.32
		62%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.30
		61%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.29
		61%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	5.0	0.29
		60%	13 points	✓	7.0	0.26
		60%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.26
		57%	6 points	✓	0.3	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	0.3	0.18
		57%	7 points	✓	0.5	0.18
		57%	6 points	✓	0.5	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	0.2	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	1.0	0.16
		55%	4 points	✓	2.1	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	2.9	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	3.0	0.09
		52%	4 points	✓	2.0	0.07
		50%	0 points	✗	6.0	-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.