Collingwood v Melbourne
M.C.G.
9.6
60
7.11
53
QUALIFYING FINAL
Collingwood won by 7 points
IN
Murphy
McCreery
Moore
Noble
Ginnivan
Frampton
OUT
IN
McDonald
Hibberd
Melksham
Turner
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.06 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.05 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 19.7 | -0.52 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | -3 points | ✗ | 4.2 | -0.29 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.7 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.4 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.12 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.