St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney
2023-09-09 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.11

77

15.11

101

ELIMINATION FINAL

Greater Western Sydney won by 24 points

IN

Caminiti

King

Ross

Membrey

Stocker

Hayes

OUT

IN

O'Halloran

Callaghan

Taylor

Coniglio

Angwin

McMullin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		55%	4 points	✓	19.7	0.13
Aggregate		53%	2 points	✓	21.8	0.08
		65%	12 points	✓	11.7	0.37
		62%	10 points	✓	14.5	0.30
		61%	10 points	✓	14.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	14.9	0.28
		60%	3 points	✓	21.2	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	16.0	0.26
		58%	7 points	✓	17.0	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	17.6	0.21
		56%	5 points	✓	18.6	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	18.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	18.9	0.16
Punters		55%	5 points	✓	19.1	0.15
		54%	2 points	✓	22.0	0.10
		52%	1 point	✓	22.5	0.05
		51%	2 points	✓	22.5	0.01
		51%	1 point	✓	23.0	0.01
		50%	0 points	✓	23.8	0.01
		50%	9 points	✓	15.0	0.00
		50%	3 points	✗	27.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	24.5	-0.02
		52%	1 point	✗	25.0	-0.06
		54%	4 points	✗	28.0	-0.13
		60%	10 points	✗	33.6	-0.30
		64%	12 points	✗	36.3	-0.48
		67%	16 points	✗	40.0	-0.61

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.