Richmond v Melbourne
2023-07-30 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

15.8

98

20.10

130

Melbourne won by 32 points

IN

Petty

Harmes

Sparrow

Brown

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		55%	5 points	✓	27.4	0.13
Aggregate		59%	8 points	✓	24.3	0.23
		71%	19 points	✓	12.7	0.51
		69%	16 points	✓	15.8	0.47
		68%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.44
		68%	9 points	✓	23.0	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	17.0	0.42
		64%	12 points	✓	19.8	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	19.5	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	21.5	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	21.3	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	21.0	0.33
		61%	13 points	✓	19.0	0.28
Punters		60%	10 points	✓	22.4	0.27
		60%	6 points	✓	26.1	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	24.5	0.25
		59%	10 points	✓	22.5	0.24
		59%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.24
		57%	8 points	✓	24.5	0.20
		54%	3 points	✓	29.0	0.11
		52%	2 points	✓	30.3	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	30.6	0.05
		50%	0 points	✗	32.0	-0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	33.2	-0.04
		52%	2 points	✗	33.6	-0.05
		54%	3 points	✗	35.0	-0.12
		59%	7 points	✗	39.3	-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.