Hawthorn v St Kilda
2023-07-30 13:10:00 +10:00
Docklands

14.9

93

19.8

122

St Kilda won by 29 points

IN

Ryan

Mackenzie

Bramble

Meek

Scrimshaw

Amon

Reeves

Grainger-Barras

OUT

IN

Billings

Stocker

Cordy

Byrnes

Hill

Gresham

Howard

Bytel

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		57%	6 points	✓	22.8	0.19
Aggregate		58%	8 points	✓	21.5	0.23
		76%	11 points	✓	18.0	0.60
		71%	20 points	✓	9.0	0.51
		68%	19 points	✓	9.7	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	14.5	0.43
		65%	15 points	✓	14.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	17.1	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	17.0	0.36
		63%	14 points	✓	15.2	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	18.9	0.32
		62%	16 points	✓	13.0	0.31
		61%	12 points	✓	17.5	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	20.0	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	21.3	0.23
Punters		55%	5 points	✓	24.0	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	24.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	25.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	25.5	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	25.7	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	26.4	0.11
		52%	3 points	✓	26.0	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	27.5	0.05
		52%	2 points	✗	30.7	-0.06
		53%	2 points	✗	31.2	-0.08
		54%	3 points	✗	32.4	-0.12
		56%	5 points	✗	33.5	-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.