Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions
Carrara
15.6
96
7.13
55
Gold Coast won by 41 points
IN
Lemmens
Rosas
Long
Oea
OUT
IN
Lohmann
Ashcroft
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 55.9 | -0.59 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 58.6 | -0.72 |
|
|
82% | 9 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -1.49 |
|
|
81% | 32 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
80% | 29 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -1.32 |
|
|
79% | 28 points | ✗ | 69.3 | -1.26 |
|
|
77% | 19 points | ✗ | 59.6 | -1.10 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 60.5 | -0.93 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 61.2 | -0.90 |
|
|
72% | 23 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 27 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.79 |
|
Punters
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 58.8 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.76 |
|
|
68% | 24 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 55.6 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 54.1 | -0.57 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 54.1 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 52.9 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 53.7 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 51.2 | -0.41 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.