Collingwood v Carlton
M.C.G.
10.16
76
14.9
93
Carlton won by 17 points
IN
Markov
Hill
OUT
IN
Marchbank
Martin
Pittonet
Owies
Cerra
Cripps
Walsh
Silvagni
Curnow
Honey
Dow
Cowan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.43 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -0.47 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -1.24 |
|
|
78% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -1.17 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.92 |
|
Punters
|
|
72% | 16 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.84 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 33.6 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 21 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.50 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.36 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.11 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.5 | 0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.