North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
2023-06-18 16:40:00 +10:00
Docklands

13.6

84

15.15

105

Western Bulldogs won by 21 points

IN

Corr

Greenwood

Simpkin

Hall

Tucker

Bergman

OUT

IN

Baker

Hannan

O'Brien

Bruce

Jones

O'Donnell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		82%	32 points	✓	11.0	0.72
Aggregate		82%	34 points	✓	12.6	0.72
		92%	44 points	✓	23.0	0.88
		89%	47 points	✓	25.8	0.83
		89%	37 points	✓	16.0	0.83
		87%	36 points	✓	15.4	0.80
		87%	40 points	✓	19.2	0.80
		87%	40 points	✓	19.0	0.80
		87%	38 points	✓	17.1	0.80
		86%	40 points	✓	19.0	0.79
		84%	36 points	✓	15.3	0.76
		83%	34 points	✓	12.8	0.73
		83%	31 points	✓	9.5	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	11.1	0.72
		82%	47 points	✓	26.0	0.71
		82%	35 points	✓	14.0	0.71
		82%	29 points	✓	7.5	0.70
Punters		81%	30 points	✓	9.1	0.70
		81%	43 points	✓	22.0	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	6.5	0.69
		81%	28 points	✓	7.0	0.69
		80%	29 points	✓	8.0	0.69
		80%	31 points	✓	9.6	0.68
		80%	34 points	✓	13.3	0.67
		74%	15 points	✓	5.5	0.57
		68%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.44
		67%	18 points	✓	3.2	0.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.