Carlton v Gold Coast
2023-06-18 13:10:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

18.12

120

8.13

61

Carlton won by 59 points

IN

Cuningham

Fogarty

Pittonet

Newman

Young

Silvagni

Motlop

Curnow

OUT

IN

Andrew

Farrar

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	7 points	✓	52.4	0.22
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	53.6	0.17
		70%	18 points	✓	40.8	0.49
		69%	15 points	✓	43.7	0.46
		67%	14 points	✓	44.8	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	44.8	0.41
		63%	11 points	✓	48.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	49.4	0.31
Punters		59%	7 points	✓	52.2	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	52.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	50.3	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	52.0	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	51.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	52.7	0.20
		57%	10 points	✓	49.0	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	53.8	0.16
		56%	4 points	✓	55.5	0.15
		55%	1 point	✓	58.0	0.15
		54%	4 points	✓	55.0	0.11
		53%	2 points	✓	57.0	0.08
		53%	4 points	✓	55.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	56.1	0.07
		52%	1 point	✓	57.8	0.06
		54%	2 points	✗	61.0	-0.12
		58%	8 points	✗	66.7	-0.24
		59%	5 points	✗	64.3	-0.29
		64%	11 points	✗	70.2	-0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.