Brisbane Lions v Sydney
2023-06-16 19:50:00 +10:00
Gabba

13.19

97

12.9

81

Brisbane Lions won by 16 points

IN

Fletcher

Lohmann

Lester

Fort

Coleman

Rich

McCluggage

Gunston

Gardiner

Prior

OUT

IN

Buller

Amartey

Parker

Heeney

Franklin

Clarke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	21 points	✓	5.5	0.54
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	3.8	0.50
		83%	30 points	✓	14.0	0.73
		83%	32 points	✓	15.6	0.73
Punters		78%	26 points	✓	9.9	0.64
		78%	19 points	✓	3.3	0.64
		76%	26 points	✓	10.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	7.1	0.59
		74%	30 points	✓	14.0	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	4.0	0.55
		73%	25 points	✓	9.0	0.54
		72%	29 points	✓	13.0	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	3.7	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	3.2	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	2.0	0.51
		70%	16 points	✓	0.3	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	2.9	0.48
		70%	18 points	✓	1.5	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	1.5	0.46
		69%	14 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	0.0	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	0.4	0.44
		64%	13 points	✓	3.3	0.37
		64%	19 points	✓	3.0	0.36
		62%	11 points	✓	5.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	5.2	0.28
		57%	7 points	✓	9.0	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.