Port Adelaide v Geelong
2023-06-15 19:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

16.14

110

11.6

72

Port Adelaide won by 38 points

IN

Narkle

Burton

Rioli

Jones

OUT

IN

Duncan

Holmes

Dangerfield

Ceglar

Knevitt

Mullin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	9 points	✓	28.9	0.27
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	29.2	0.26
		76%	23 points	✓	15.1	0.60
		68%	12 points	✓	26.2	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	22.1	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	22.0	0.43
		66%	15 points	✓	23.2	0.41
		65%	13 points	✓	25.1	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	25.1	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	27.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	26.0	0.35
		64%	12 points	✓	25.9	0.35
		62%	3 points	✓	35.0	0.30
Punters		61%	9 points	✓	29.1	0.30
		60%	14 points	✓	24.0	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	27.6	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	29.7	0.27
		59%	12 points	✓	26.0	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	30.0	0.24
		56%	5 points	✓	33.4	0.17
		56%	5 points	✓	33.5	0.15
		53%	3 points	✓	35.5	0.09
		53%	3 points	✓	35.0	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	35.7	0.08
		50%	3 points	✓	35.0	0.00
		54%	3 points	✗	41.0	-0.12
		55%	4 points	✗	41.9	-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.