Fremantle v Carlton
Perth Stadium
11.9
75
11.13
79
Match complete
Carlton won by 4 points
IN
McCarthy
Banfield
Cerra
Hogan
Hill
Duman
OUT
IN
Kennedy
Silvagni
Jones
Cripps
McKay
Cuningham
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 28 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -1.21 | |
84% | 29 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.68 | ||
84% | 32 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.64 | ||
83% | 35 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -1.57 | ||
Punters | 83% | 31 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -1.52 | |
81% | 27 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -1.40 | ||
80% | 27 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.31 | ||
80% | 29 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.30 | ||
79% | 33 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -1.25 | ||
78% | 30 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -1.18 | ||
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.18 | ||
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -1.09 | ||
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -1.06 | ||
76% | 36 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -1.06 | ||
75% | 33 points | ✗ | 36.7 | -1.01 | ||
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.80 | ||
71% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.78 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.