Geelong v Adelaide
Kardinia Park
14.12
96
10.9
69
Match complete
Geelong won by 27 points
IN
Fogarty
Bews
Rohan
Fort
OUT
IN
Davis
Himmelberg
Gibbs
Jenkins
Ellis-Yolmen
Milera
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 76% | 27 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.61 | |
89% | 42 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.83 | ||
86% | 53 points | ✓ | 26.4 | 0.77 | ||
81% | 26 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 34 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.70 | ||
80% | 27 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.67 | ||
78% | 27 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.63 | ||
77% | 29 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.61 | ||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.61 | ||
Punters | 76% | 23 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.61 | |
76% | 21 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.59 | ||
74% | 33 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.57 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.53 | ||
69% | 20 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.47 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.39 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 15.6 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.