Hawthorn v West Coast
M.C.G.
9.17
71
11.11
77
Match complete
West Coast won by 6 points
IN
Hanrahan
Nash
Howe
Roughead
Morrison
Brand
OUT
IN
Naitanui
Rioli
McGovern
Petruccelle
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.2 | -0.01 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.24 |
 |
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.24 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.4 | -0.19 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.13 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.7 | -0.10 |
 |
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.03 |
| Punters | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.14 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.22 |
 |
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.23 |
 |
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.30 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.