Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
2019-06-30 15:20:00
Gabba

15.17

107

11.8

74

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 33 points

IN

Starcevich

Bailey

Berry

Witherden

Mathieson

Allison

OUT

IN

Hibberd

Wagner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	21.0	0.35
		78%	22 points	✓	11.0	0.64
		77%	13 points	✓	20.0	0.62
		69%	24 points	✓	9.4	0.46
		67%	15 points	✓	18.0	0.42
		66%	12 points	✓	20.6	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	21.0	0.38
		63%	13 points	✓	20.0	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	21.4	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	20.3	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	21.0	0.32
Punters		62%	11 points	✓	21.8	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	23.0	0.29
		60%	7 points	✓	25.6	0.26
		56%	8 points	✓	25.0	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	28.0	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	29.4	0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.