Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
Marvel Stadium
12.5
77
10.11
71
Match complete
Essendon won by 6 points
IN
Gleeson
Francis
Guelfi
Ambrose
OUT
IN
Hately
Langdon
Haynes
de Boer
Buntine
Stein
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.22 |
 |
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.48 |
 |
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.45 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.41 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.40 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.32 |
 |
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.32 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.29 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.28 |
| Punters | |
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.2 | -0.26 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.7 | -0.14 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.2 | -0.04 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.