Sydney v West Coast
S.C.G.
18.8
116
10.11
71
Match complete
Sydney won by 45 points
IN
Rose
Thurlow
Hayward
Fox
OUT
IN
Rotham
Smith
Hickey
Yeo
Hurn
Allen
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 3 points | ✗ | 48.2 | -0.12 | |
74% | 10 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.93 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 63.8 | -0.76 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.60 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.50 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 53.4 | -0.36 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.15 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 49.2 | -0.11 | ||
Punters | 51% | 2 points | ✗ | 46.5 | -0.03 | |
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 45.3 | -0.01 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.01 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.01 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 40.9 | 0.12 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 39.7 | 0.16 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.30 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.