Carlton v Brisbane Lions
Marvel Stadium
11.12
78
9.9
63
Match complete
Carlton won by 15 points
IN
O'Brien
McGovern
Thomas
Simpson
Kennedy
Lang
Fasolo
Stocker
OUT
IN
Allison
Keays
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 31.4 | -0.62 |
 |
|
83% | 31 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -1.56 |
 |
|
77% | 31 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -1.15 |
 |
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.06 |
 |
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 37.1 | -1.00 |
 |
|
75% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.97 |
 |
|
73% | 29 points | ✗ | 44.4 | -0.89 |
 |
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.70 |
| Punters | |
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.52 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.49 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.1 | -0.42 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.4 | -0.37 |
 |
|
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.32 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.25 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.