Gold Coast v North Melbourne
Carrara
11.6
72
14.15
99
Match complete
North Melbourne won by 27 points
IN
Brodie
Harbrow
Miller
Bowes
Horlin-Smith
Schoenfeld
OUT
IN
Durdin
Macmillan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 69% | 17 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.46 | |
84% | 32 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.76 | ||
84% | 16 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.75 | ||
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.66 | ||
74% | 31 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.56 | ||
72% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.53 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.53 | ||
72% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.50 | ||
Punters | 70% | 18 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.49 | |
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.42 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.26 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 22.8 | 0.13 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 22.2 | 0.13 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 22.5 | 0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.