Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval
12.10
82
9.7
61
Match complete
Adelaide won by 21 points
IN
Hartigan
Douglas
Crouch
Lynch
Gibbs
Mackay
OUT
IN
Taylor
Lloyd
Williams
Whitfield
Greene
Keeffe
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.09 |
 |
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.59 |
 |
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.27 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.09 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.00 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.05 |
| Punters | |
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.8 | 0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 18.1 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.