Richmond v Geelong

M.C.G.
5.7
37
16.8
104

Match complete
Geelong won by 67 points

IN
Naish
Townsend
Graham
Rioli
Ellis
Astbury
Broad
Bolton
OUT
IN
Stanley
Ablett
Smith
Parsons
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
62% 11 points 55.80.32
Stattraction
Geelong
78% 31 points 36.00.64
Matter of Stats
Geelong
75% 22 points 45.10.58
AFL Lab
Geelong
71% 12 points 55.00.51
Punters
Geelong
67% 15 points 52.20.42
Massey Ratings
Geelong
66% 13 points 54.00.40
Graft
Geelong
64% 13 points 54.00.36
AFLalytics
Geelong
63% 12 points 55.40.34
Swinburne
Geelong
63% 10 points 57.00.33
Fat Stats
Geelong
61% 13 points 54.00.28
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
60% 13 points 54.00.26
PlusSixOne
Geelong
60% 10 points 57.00.26
The Arc
Geelong
59% 7 points 60.00.23
Squiggle
Geelong
57% 7 points 60.20.19
AFL Gains
Geelong
56% 5 points 62.30.17
Live Ladders
Richmond
50% 0 points 67.0-0.00
HPN
Richmond
54% 3 points 70.3-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2019