Richmond v Geelong
M.C.G.
5.7
37
16.8
104
Match complete
Geelong won by 67 points
IN
Naish
Townsend
Graham
Rioli
Ellis
Astbury
Broad
Bolton
OUT
IN
Stanley
Ablett
Smith
Parsons
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 62% | 11 points | ✓ | 55.8 | 0.32 | |
78% | 31 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.64 | ||
75% | 22 points | ✓ | 45.1 | 0.58 | ||
71% | 12 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.51 | ||
Punters | 67% | 15 points | ✓ | 52.2 | 0.42 | |
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.40 | ||
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 55.4 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.33 | ||
61% | 13 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 60.2 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 62.3 | 0.17 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.00 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 70.3 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.