It’s been a rough start to the year for tipsters. And the start of a season is a tough time for computer models, which generally don’t know about personnel changes during the off-season.
Still, after three rounds, the computers models are doing okay!
| Tips | Bits | |
|---|---|---|
| Figuring Footy | 18 | 0.88 |
| Squiggle | 18 | -0.96 |
| PlusSixOne | 17 | 1.28 |
| Aggregate | 17 | 0.48 |
| Footy Maths Institute | 17 | -1.84 |
| Punters | 16 | 0.73 |
| Matter of Stats | 15 | 0.16 |
| The Arc | 15 | 0.04 |
“Bits” from Monash University rewards tipsters for saying a win was likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely.
Squiggle has been fortunate with a few line-ball calls, doing well on raw tip numbers but badly burned on over-confident predictions that turned out to be upsets.
Figuring Footy has been strong on both. PlusSixOne has been excellent in probabilistic terms, and is currently leading in Bits.