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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
Collingwood 17.7 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–2
2
Geelong 17.2 140%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–2
3
Adelaide 14.9 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
4
Western Bulldogs 14.4 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–8
5
Gold Coast 14.6 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–8
6
Brisbane Lions 14.3 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–6
7
Hawthorn 14.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–8
8
Fremantle 13.7 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–8
9
GWS 12.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9
10
Carlton 11.4 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Sydney 10.3 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
Port Adelaide 10.1 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
St Kilda 9.2 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
Melbourne 9.1 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
15
Essendon 8.8 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–15
16
North Melbourne 6.2 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
Richmond 5.4 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 3.1 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 1 game of Round 15, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Collingwood 11∗ 2 – 134.0%
+6.7
1
2
Geelong 10 4 – 133.8%
+7.2
2
3
Brisbane Lions 9 4 1 110.4%
+4.8
6
4
Adelaide 9 5 – 135.2%
+5.9
3
5
Hawthorn 9 5 – 111.6%
+5.1
7
6
Fremantle 9 5 – 110.0%
+4.7
8
7
Gold Coast 8∗ 4 – 123.2%
+6.6
5
8
GWS 8 6 – 107.6%
+4.5
9
9
Western Bulldogs 7∗ 6 – 127.7%
+7.4
4
10
Carlton 6∗ 7 – 106.7%
+5.4
10
11
Port Adelaide 6∗ 7 – 84.7%
+4.1
12
12
Essendon 6 8 – 77.5%
+2.8
15
13
Sydney 5∗ 8 – 90.1%
+5.3
11
14
St Kilda 5∗ 8 – 87.8%
+4.2
13
15
Melbourne 5 9 – 87.1%
+4.1
14
16
North Melbourne 3∗ 9 1 80.6%
+2.7
16
17
Richmond 3∗ 10 – 69.4%
+2.4
17
18
West Coast 1 13 – 65.1%
+2.1
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 1

91 21.14 26.98 75.2%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 1

90 21.90 26.65 74.4%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 1

90 20.18 26.93 74.4%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 1

90 19.20 27.53 74.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 1

89 21.63 26.85 73.6%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 1

89 20.84 27.55 73.6%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 1

89 20.33 26.80 73.6%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 1

89 18.54 27.30 73.6%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

88 20.11 26.87 72.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 1

88 19.54 28.46 72.7%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 1

88 19.24 28.21 72.7%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

87 22.40 26.48 71.9%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 1

86 20.10 27.00 71.1%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 1

85 21.18 26.51 70.2%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 1

85 20.85 27.27 70.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 1

85 18.25 27.70 70.2%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 1

85 17.97 27.83 70.2%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 1

85 16.84 27.14 70.2%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 1

84 16.72 27.87 69.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 1

83 20.19 26.54 68.6%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 1

83 18.14 28.08 68.6%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 1

83 12.52 29.36 68.6%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 1

81 18.94 27.51 66.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 1

80 15.99 28.75 66.1%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 1

79 9.86 29.19 65.3%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 1

78 16.66 27.88 64.5%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 1

78 14.62 28.91 64.5%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 1

78 14.62 28.36 64.5%

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