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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
Adelaide 17.5 147%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Geelong 16.6 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Brisbane Lions 16.2 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
4
Collingwood 16.1 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
5
Gold Coast 15.8 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
6
Fremantle 15.3 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–8
7
Hawthorn 14.9 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–9
8
Western Bulldogs 14.4 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
9
GWS 14.8 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
10
Sydney 11.7 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Carlton 8.7 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
12
St Kilda 8.9 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
13
Port Adelaide 9.1 80%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–13
14
Melbourne 8.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14
15
Essendon 6.9 72%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
Richmond 5.6 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
North Melbourne 5.4 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 1.4 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 3 games of Round 22, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Adelaide 15∗ 5 – 144.1%
+2.5
1
2
Geelong 15 6 – 139.8%
+1.6
2
3
Collingwood 15 6 – 124.2%
+1.1
4
4
Brisbane Lions 14∗ 5 1 112.1%
+1.7
3
5
Hawthorn 14 7 – 121.2%
+0.9
7
6
Fremantle 14∗ 6 – 113.0%
+1.3
6
7
Gold Coast 13∗ 6 – 125.1%
+2.8
5
8
GWS 13∗ 7 – 111.3%
+1.8
9
9
Western Bulldogs 12∗ 8 – 137.3%
+2.4
8
10
Sydney 10∗ 10 – 95.0%
+1.7
10
11
St Kilda 8 13 – 87.9%
+0.9
12
12
Port Adelaide 8∗ 12 – 79.8%
+1.1
13
13
Melbourne 7∗ 13 – 95.0%
+1.0
14
14
Carlton 7∗ 13 – 92.1%
+1.7
11
15
Essendon 6∗ 14 – 71.3%
+0.9
15
16
Richmond 5 16 – 66.3%
+0.6
16
17
North Melbourne 4∗ 15 1 73.4%
+0.9
17
18
West Coast 1∗ 19 – 61.9%
+0.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 2

138 41.96 26.00 75.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 8 3

137 40.48 26.04 74.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 3

137 38.77 26.96 74.9%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 8 2

137 35.79 26.75 74.9%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 2

136 42.52 25.91 74.3%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 8 2

136 40.46 25.82 74.3%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 8 2

136 40.15 26.05 74.3%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 2

135 40.94 26.10 73.8%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 2

135 39.94 25.99 73.8%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 8 3

133 39.13 26.54 72.7%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 8 2

132 41.91 26.79 72.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 8 2

132 39.69 27.31 72.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 8 2

132 36.90 26.60 72.1%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 8 2

131 42.76 25.72 71.6%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 2

131 40.52 26.20 71.6%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 2

130 43.30 25.44 71.0%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 8 2

130 42.50 25.54 71.0%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 8 2

130 36.38 26.58 71.0%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 8 2

130 29.25 28.08 71.0%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 8 3

129 41.02 26.45 70.5%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 8 2

128 37.59 26.88 69.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 8 2

128 36.07 27.09 69.9%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 3

128 34.28 27.49 69.9%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 8 2

127 34.99 27.63 69.4%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 7 3

127 33.97 28.06 69.4%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 8 3

127 21.03 29.48 69.4%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 8 2

126 35.11 27.27 68.9%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 8 3

122 33.49 28.12 66.7%

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