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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

		Wins	%	Range
1	Western Bulldogs	16.4	129%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1–2
2	Gold Coast	15.1	125%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	2–4
3	Hawthorn	14.6	121%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1–7
4	Geelong	14.4	113%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	2–6
5	Fremantle	13.5	115%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	4–8
6	Sydney	13.4	115%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	4–9
7	Brisbane Lions	13.4	113%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	4–8
8	Adelaide	13.2	113%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–10
9	Collingwood	12.8	107%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–9
10	GWS	11.1	98%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	10–12
11	Melbourne	11.0	95%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	9–13
12	St Kilda	10.1	95%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	11–16
13	North Melbourne	9.2	87%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	11–15
14	Port Adelaide	8.9	88%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	13–15
15	Carlton	8.9	84%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	12–16
16	West Coast	8.9	82%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	12–16
17	Richmond	6.1	72%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	17–18
18	Essendon	6.0	72%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	17–18

After Round 3, 2026.

							PROJECTIONS
		W	L	D	%	History	Wins	Finish
1	Gold Coast	3∗	–	–	191.0%		+12.1	2
2	Western Bulldogs	3∗	–	–	137.2%		+13.4	1
3	Fremantle	2∗	1	–	143.9%		+11.5	5
4	Sydney	2∗	1	–	139.5%		+11.4	6
5	Hawthorn	2∗	1	–	118.1%		+12.6	3
6	North Melbourne	2∗	1	–	116.6%		+7.2	13
7	Collingwood	2∗	1	–	114.6%		+10.8	9
8	Melbourne	2∗	1	–	96.0%		+9.0	11
9	West Coast	2∗	1	–	87.3%		+6.9	16
10	Geelong	2∗	1	–	86.7%		+12.4	4
11	Port Adelaide	1∗	2	–	105.5%		+7.9	14
12	Adelaide	1∗	2	–	100.0%		+12.2	8
13	Brisbane Lions	1∗	2	–	94.6%		+12.4	7
14	St Kilda	1	3	–	86.0%		+9.1	12
15	GWS	1	3	–	76.9%		+10.1	10
16	Carlton	1∗	2	–	72.9%		+7.9	15
17	Essendon	–∗	3	–	61.8%		+6.0	18
18	Richmond	–∗	3	–	56.9%		+6.1	17

∗ Yet to play

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
4 8 5 6	23	4.1697 4.17	25.0493 25.05	82.1429 82.1%
3 8 5 6	22	6.6013 6.60	23.6275 23.63	78.5714 78.6%
3 7 6 6	22	6.1920 6.19	23.3179 23.32	78.5714 78.6%
3 7 5 6	21	7.1933 7.19	23.7554 23.76	75.0000 75.0%
4 7 5 5	21	6.2387 6.24	24.4121 24.41	75.0000 75.0%
3 7 5 6	21	6.0850 6.08	25.4607 25.46	75.0000 75.0%
3 7 5 6	21	5.4688 5.47	24.3114 24.31	75.0000 75.0%
2 8 5 6	21	5.4109 5.41	23.5714 23.57	75.0000 75.0%
4 7 5 5	21	4.4582 4.46	25.8643 25.86	75.0000 75.0%
3 7 5 5	20	6.6122 6.61	24.8136 24.81	71.4286 71.4%
2 7 5 6	20	6.5918 6.59	24.3096 24.31	71.4286 71.4%
s10 2 8 5 5	20	6.5138 6.51	24.3104 24.31	71.4286 71.4%
3 7 4 6	20	5.5894 5.59	24.3214 24.32	71.4286 71.4%
Aggregate 2 7 5 6	20	5.4726 5.47	24.4879 24.49	71.4286 71.4%
2 7 5 6	20	4.7221 4.72	26.8929 26.89	71.4286 71.4%
3 7 5 5	20	4.7110 4.71	25.5943 25.59	71.4286 71.4%
2 7 5 5	19	6.9894 6.99	24.7729 24.77	67.8571 67.9%
2 6 5 6	19	5.3229 5.32	24.4479 24.45	67.8571 67.9%
2 7 4 6	19	4.3223 4.32	26.9814 26.98	67.8571 67.9%
2 7 5 5	19	4.3022 4.30	26.6429 26.64	67.8571 67.9%
Punters 2 6 4 6	18	5.3755 5.38	24.5643 24.56	64.2857 64.3%
1 7 5 5	18	5.3686 5.37	24.6943 24.69	64.2857 64.3%
2 7 4 5	18	5.1682 5.17	25.2500 25.25	64.2857 64.3%
2 7 4 5	18	3.8191 3.82	27.2786 27.28	64.2857 64.3%
2 7 4 5	18	2.7010 2.70	27.2250 27.23	64.2857 64.3%
3 5 3 7	18	1.7978 1.80	29.7500 29.75	64.2857 64.3%
1 7 4 5	17	5.5298 5.53	25.6561 25.66	60.7143 60.7%
2 6 4 5	17	3.9657 3.97	26.1207 26.12	60.7143 60.7%
3 6 4 4	17	3.0723 3.07	27.5000 27.50	60.7143 60.7%
3 5 4 5	17	0.6310 0.63	27.4286 27.43	60.7143 60.7%
2 4	6	1.1606 1.16	35.5833 35.58 ^†16	50.0000 50.0%