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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

February 15, 2017March 17, 2017

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

		Wins	%	Range
1	Sydney	16.8	127%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	1
2	Port Adelaide	15.6	114%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	2
3	Geelong	14.9	112%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–4
4	GWS	14.9	109%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	3–4
5	Brisbane Lions	14.3	122%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	5
6	Western Bulldogs	13.8	125%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–7
7	Hawthorn	13.9	118%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	6–7
8	Carlton	13.1	111%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	8–9
9	Fremantle	12.8	113%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	8–10
10	Collingwood	12.7	102%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	9–10
11	Essendon	11.4	93%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	11
12	St Kilda	10.7	99%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	12–14
13	Gold Coast	10.9	99%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	12–14
14	Melbourne	11.0	99%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	12–14
15	Adelaide	8.4	99%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	15
16	West Coast	5.0	68%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	16
17	North Melbourne	3.0	63%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	17
18	Richmond	2.0	63%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18	18

After Round 26, 2024.

							PROJECTIONS
		W	L	D	%	History	Wins	Finish
1	Sydney	17	6	–	126.7%		+-0.2	1
2	Port Adelaide	16	7	–	114.8%		+-0.4	2
3	Geelong	15	8	–	112.2%		+-0.1	3
4	GWS	15	8	–	109.1%		+-0.1	4
5	Brisbane Lions	14	8	1	121.9%		+-0.2	5
6	Western Bulldogs	14	9	–	125.1%		+-0.2	6
7	Hawthorn	14	9	–	118.5%		+-0.1	7
8	Carlton	13	10	–	110.2%		+0.1	8
9	Collingwood	12	9	2	102.5%		+-0.3	10
10	Fremantle	12	10	1	111.9%		+0.3	9
11	Essendon	11	11	1	93.5%		+-0.1	11
12	St Kilda	11	12	–	99.4%		+-0.3	12
13	Gold Coast	11	12	–	99.1%		+-0.1	13
14	Melbourne	11	12	–	98.5%		+0.0	14
15	Adelaide	8	14	1	99.1%		+-0.1	15
16	West Coast	5	18	–	68.1%		+-0.0	16
17	North Melbourne	3	20	–	63.5%		+-0.0	17
18	Richmond	2	21	–	63.7%		+0.0	18

	Tips	Bits	MAE	Correct
3 8 7 4 8 4 3 9 6 6 5 6 4 5 6 6 7 6 9 7 5 6 5 6 9 2 1 2 1	156	33.35	26.36	72.2%
3 7 6 4 9 4 5 7 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 5 4 6 7 6 4 3 6 9 2 1 1 1	143	33.50	26.52	66.2%
2 7 6 4 8 4 4 7 7 5 6 6 4 6 5 6 5 4 6 6 7 5 4 6 8 2 1 1 1	143	26.77	27.31	66.2%
3 5 6 5 9 4 3 8 6 5 5 8 4 3 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 4 6 7 3 1 1 1	143	24.32	27.08	66.2%
2 7 6 4 9 4 5 8 5 6 5 7 4 5 5 5 6 5 7 6 4 5 4 5 7 2 2 1 1	142	26.14	27.23	65.7%
3 7 6 4 8 4 5 9 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 7 5 7 6 4 4 3 6 7 2 0 1 0	141	29.77	27.17	65.3%
2 6 6 4 9 4 4 8 5 6 5 7 3 5 6 6 7 4 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 3 0 1 1	141	27.38	27.27	65.3%
s10 3 6 6 4 8 4 5 9 6 5 5 7 5 5 6 6 4 4 7 7 5 3 3 6 7 2 0 1 1	140	30.91	26.70	64.8%
2 6 6 4 7 4 4 9 5 4 6 6 4 4 6 6 4 5 8 8 5 3 5 6 7 2 1 2 1	140	29.73	26.76	64.8%
3 6 6 3 8 4 4 8 5 5 6 7 3 5 6 6 4 4 5 7 6 5 4 6 9 2 1 1 1	140	29.21	26.92	64.8%
2 7 8 4 7 4 3 8 6 6 5 7 3 4 6 6 6 4 7 7 5 5 3 6 6 2 1 1 1	140	27.51	26.79	64.8%
Aggregate 3 6 6 4 9 4 5 8 6 5 5 7 4 4 6 6 4 4 7 6 4 4 3 6 7 2 1 2 1	139	30.19	26.64	64.4%
3 6 6 5 8 4 4 8 7 6 6 7 3 4 6 6 5 4 6 6 4 3 4 6 7 2 2 1	139	28.36	27.23^†2	65.0%
3 7 7 5 9 4 5 8 5 5 5 7 3 4 6 6 5 4 6 5 4 4 3 6 7 2 1 2 1	139	27.41	26.80	64.4%
3 6 6 4 8 4 5 8 6 5 5 6 4 4 6 6 5 4 8 6 4 5 4 5 8 2 0 1 1	139	27.00	27.34	64.4%
1 7 6 4 9 4 5 8 5 5 6 7 4 3 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 3 5 6 9 2 1 2	139	26.60	27.27^†1	64.7%
3 7 5 4 8 4 5 9 5 5 5 7 3 4 6 6 6 3 5 7 7 4 4 6 7 2 0 1 1	139	21.53	28.11	64.4%
3 7 6 4 6 4 4 9 5 6 4 8 6 5 6 6 6 4 5 7 6 2 4 6 9	138	32.10	26.50^†13	68.0%
3 7 6 4 9 3 4 8 5 4 5 6 3 4 4 4 6 6 8 7 6 5 4 4 8 2 2 0 1	138	28.01	26.72	63.9%
3 7 6 4 9 4 5 9 5 4 5 7 3 3 6 5 6 6 7 6 5 4 2 6 7 2 0 2 0	138	27.46	27.20^†1	64.2%
1 7 7 4 9 4 5 9 5 6 6 7 3 3 6 5 6 5 5 6 4 5 3 7 8 2 0	138	26.81	27.44^†4	65.1%
3 6 6 4 9 4 3 7 6 6 5 7 4 3 6 6 4 4 6 6 6 5 4 6 7 3 0 2 0	138	25.74	26.85	63.9%
3 7 6 4 9 4 4 7 4 6 6 6 4 5 6 6 4 4 5 6 4 3 4 6 8 2 1 2 1	137	28.92	27.27	63.4%
1 7 6 5 5 4 4 9 6 5 5 6 4 4 6 5 6 5 6 6 5 5 3 8 6 2 2 1	137	17.28	28.44^†1	63.7%
Punters 3 7 6 4 9 4 4 8 5 5 5 7 5 2 6 6 4 4 6 7 5 5 3 5 8 2 0 1 0	136	28.86	26.82	63.0%
3 6 6 4 7 4 4 8 5 7 5 8 4 4 6 6 5 4 6 7 4 3 4 5 7 2 0 1 0	135	27.01	27.27	62.5%
3 7 5 4 8 4 4 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 6 4 4 3 6 8 2 1 2 1	135	24.63	27.83	62.5%
1 5 6 4 9 4 3 8 5 5 6 7 4 3 5 6 6 4 6 6 5 3 4 6 8 2 1 2 1	135	24.46	27.53	62.5%
3 5 6 6 8 4 4 7 4 4 5 7 3 4 5 6 5 4 6 6 6 4 3 6 6 3 1 2 0	133	28.20	26.76	61.6%
3 6 6 4 8 4 4 8 5 5 5 7 4 3 6 6 4 4 6 6 4 3 3 6 8 3 0 2 0	133	27.48	27.05^†2	62.1%