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How impressive was Dusty’s game?

Posted on March 23, 2017March 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc on what a 33-disposal, 4-goal game looks like. (Answer: A dude in red board shorts surfing a pretty big wave.)

Commentators raved about Dustin Martin’s first game of the 2017 season. They were right.

Source: How impressive was Dusty’s game? | The Arc

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 18.0 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.4 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.8 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Adelaide 15.6 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Western Bulldogs 15.0 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
6
 Gold Coast 15.1 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–6
7
 Hawthorn 14.6 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
8
 GWS 13.6 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Fremantle 13.6 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 10.9 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Port Adelaide 9.9 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Carlton 8.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Melbourne 8.6 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
14
 St Kilda 8.4 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
15
 Essendon 8.5 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
16
 North Melbourne 6.6 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 4.8 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 2.6 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 2 games of Round 18, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 14 3 – 136.1%
+4.0
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 12 4 1 116.8%
+3.3
3
3
 Adelaide 11∗ 5 – 138.2%
+4.6
4
4
 Geelong 11∗ 5 – 132.3%
+5.4
2
5
 Gold Coast 11∗ 5 – 121.8%
+4.1
6
6
 Hawthorn 11∗ 5 – 118.9%
+3.6
7
7
 Western Bulldogs 10∗ 6 – 133.2%
+5.0
5
8
 GWS 10∗ 6 – 112.0%
+3.6
8
9
 Fremantle 10∗ 6 – 108.8%
+3.6
9
10
 Sydney 7∗ 9 – 93.4%
+3.9
10
11
 Port Adelaide 7∗ 9 – 87.6%
+2.9
11
12
 Carlton 6 11 – 93.7%
+2.9
12
13
 Essendon 6∗ 9 – 76.4%
+2.5
15
14
 Melbourne 5∗ 11 – 86.7%
+3.6
13
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 11 – 85.7%
+3.4
14
16
 North Melbourne 4∗ 11 1 77.3%
+2.1
16
17
 Richmond 3∗ 13 – 63.0%
+1.8
17
18
 West Coast 1∗ 15 – 63.9%
+1.6
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 2

112 29.89 26.08 77.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 2

110 28.35 26.97 75.9%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 2

110 25.88 26.79 75.9%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 2

109 29.65 25.85 75.2%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 1

109 28.70 26.07 75.2%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 1

109 28.68 26.03 75.2%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 2

109 28.48 25.93 75.2%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 1

108 30.03 26.01 74.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 1

108 29.23 27.32 74.5%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 1

108 28.40 25.98 74.5%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 1

106 30.89 25.53 73.1%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 1

106 29.37 26.91 73.1%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 2

106 26.60 26.60 73.1%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 2

105 27.97 26.38 72.4%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 2

105 25.88 26.77 72.4%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 2

104 29.99 25.50 71.7%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 1

104 29.44 25.69 71.7%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 1

104 27.18 26.60 71.7%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 1

104 25.96 26.03 71.7%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 1

103 19.78 28.31 71.0%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 0

102 27.72 26.71 70.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 2

101 25.61 27.42 69.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 2

101 24.29 27.63 69.7%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 1

100 27.64 26.65 69.0%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 1

98 25.42 26.76 67.6%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 1

98 14.06 29.07 67.6%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 1

96 23.00 27.79 66.2%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 1

96 22.61 28.06 66.2%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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