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Introducing Massey Ratings

Posted on May 19, 2018May 19, 2018 by Max Barry

It’s another new model! Ken Massey is an internationally known sports statistician whose Massey Ratings cover a vast array of sports, including AFL.

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Wins % Range
1
Adelaide 17.3 146%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Collingwood 17.2 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Geelong 16.3 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–4
4
Gold Coast 16.0 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
5
Brisbane Lions 15.7 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–5
6
GWS 14.9 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–8
7
Fremantle 15.0 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–8
8
Western Bulldogs 14.3 140%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–9
9
Hawthorn 14.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–9
10
Sydney 11.4 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Carlton 9.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
Port Adelaide 9.3 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
Melbourne 8.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
St Kilda 8.2 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Essendon 7.1 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
Richmond 6.0 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
17
North Melbourne 5.7 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16–17
18
West Coast 1.5 61%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 4 games of Round 21, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Adelaide 15 5 – 144.1%
+2.3
1
2
Collingwood 15∗ 4 – 135.0%
+2.2
2
3
Brisbane Lions 13∗ 5 1 110.8%
+2.2
5
4
Geelong 13∗ 6 – 134.2%
+3.3
3
5
Gold Coast 13∗ 6 – 125.1%
+3.0
4
6
Hawthorn 13 7 – 117.6%
+1.5
9
7
Fremantle 13∗ 6 – 111.7%
+2.0
7
8
GWS 13 7 – 111.3%
+1.9
6
9
Western Bulldogs 12 8 – 137.3%
+2.3
8
10
Sydney 9∗ 10 – 93.9%
+2.4
10
11
Port Adelaide 8∗ 11 – 83.2%
+1.3
12
12
Melbourne 7 13 – 95.0%
+1.0
13
13
Carlton 7∗ 12 – 93.3%
+2.0
11
14
St Kilda 6∗ 13 – 86.4%
+2.2
14
15
Essendon 6∗ 12 – 71.7%
+1.1
15
16
Richmond 5 15 – 65.5%
+1.0
16
17
North Melbourne 4∗ 14 1 72.8%
+1.2
17
18
West Coast 1 19 – 61.9%
+0.5
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 5

133 40.38 25.89 76.0%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 5

132 34.28 26.83 75.4%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

131 40.53 25.77 74.9%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 5

131 39.05 25.82 74.9%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 5

131 38.44 26.01 74.9%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 5

131 38.36 26.04 74.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

131 37.44 27.02 74.9%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 5

130 39.99 26.14 74.3%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

130 38.05 26.02 74.3%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 5

127 40.54 26.51 72.6%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 5

127 38.19 27.17 72.6%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 5

127 35.89 26.71 72.6%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 5

127 35.17 26.71 72.6%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 5

126 40.67 25.67 72.0%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 5

126 38.75 26.19 72.0%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 5

125 41.33 25.28 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 5

125 40.13 25.50 71.4%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 5

125 34.38 26.46 71.4%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 5

125 28.37 28.19 71.4%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 5

123 38.99 26.42 70.3%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 5

123 35.50 26.76 70.3%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 5

123 35.11 27.00 70.3%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 5

122 33.60 27.55 69.7%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 5

122 32.69 27.47 69.7%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 5

121 33.94 27.11 69.1%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 4

121 32.33 28.09 69.1%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 5

121 19.99 29.55 69.1%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 5

116 31.32 28.33 66.3%

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