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Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

Posted on July 7, 2017July 7, 2017 by Max Barry

You know what? It’s an even season. So agrees The Arc:

This AFL season is on pace to be the most even of any major sports league, and among the most even in footy history.

Source: Footy Forensics Is the AFL the world’s most even sports league?

CategoriesThe Arc

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Wins % Range
1
 Sydney 17.4 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Fremantle 16.6 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 16.3 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Geelong 14.9 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Brisbane Lions 14.4 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Gold Coast 13.2 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Western Bulldogs 13.1 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Adelaide 12.9 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Melbourne 12.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Collingwood 12.2 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 St Kilda 11.1 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 GWS 10.5 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Port Adelaide 9.8 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 North Melbourne 9.9 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Carlton 7.0 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Essendon 6.3 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 West Coast 6.1 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Richmond 4.5 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 8 games of Round 9, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 8 1 – 157.2%
+9.4
1
2
 Fremantle 8 1 – 131.6%
+8.6
2
3
 Hawthorn 6 2 1 116.8%
+9.8
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 6 3 – 124.5%
+8.4
5
5
 Geelong 6 3 – 120.4%
+8.9
4
6
 Gold Coast 6 3 – 118.5%
+7.2
6
7
 Melbourne 6 3 – 103.9%
+6.7
9
8
 Western Bulldogs 5 4 – 92.4%
+8.1
7
9
 Collingwood 4 4 1 99.9%
+7.7
10
10
 St Kilda 4 5 – 109.3%
+7.1
11
11
 North Melbourne 4 5 – 104.4%
+5.9
14
12
 Adelaide 4∗ 4 – 96.6%
+8.9
8
13
 GWS 4 5 – 91.1%
+6.5
12
14
 Port Adelaide 3 6 – 109.5%
+6.8
13
15
 West Coast 2 7 – 60.1%
+4.1
17
16
 Carlton 1 8 – 79.3%
+6.0
15
17
 Essendon 1 8 – 71.8%
+5.3
16
18
 Richmond 1∗ 7 – 60.0%
+3.5
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 7

67 23.1504 23.15 24.2491 24.25 83.7500 83.8%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 7

66 23.9502 23.95 25.4311 25.43 82.5000 82.5%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 8

64 23.8457 23.85 25.5890 25.59 80.0000 80.0%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 7

64 21.6906 21.69 25.8081 25.81 80.0000 80.0%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 6

64 15.6201 15.62 25.3301 25.33 80.0000 80.0%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 7

63 24.0859 24.09 25.0964 25.10 78.7500 78.8%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 8

63 23.4405 23.44 26.7375 26.74 78.7500 78.8%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8

63 21.8941 21.89 25.7727 25.77 78.7500 78.8%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 8

63 17.0248 17.02 26.6625 26.66 78.7500 78.8%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 7

62 24.6117 24.61 26.3299 26.33 77.5000 77.5%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 6

62 24.5688 24.57 26.2749 26.27 77.5000 77.5%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 7

62 22.7454 22.75 25.8568 25.86 77.5000 77.5%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 8

61 21.8850 21.89 27.5750 27.57 76.2500 76.2%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 7

61 21.5519 21.55 26.1417 26.14 76.2500 76.2%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 6

61 20.9522 20.95 25.8931 25.89 76.2500 76.2%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 8

61 20.4193 20.42 26.6160 26.62 76.2500 76.2%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 7

60 21.9549 21.95 27.1167 27.12 75.0000 75.0%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 5

60 20.3466 20.35 26.1893 26.19 75.0000 75.0%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 7

60 19.6739 19.67 26.4788 26.48 75.0000 75.0%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 6

58 21.6265 21.63 27.0440 27.04 72.5000 72.5%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 8

58 21.2757 21.28 26.5628 26.56 72.5000 72.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 7

58 20.9298 20.93 25.8296 25.83 72.5000 72.5%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 6

58 19.9466 19.95 26.5875 26.59 72.5000 72.5%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 6

58 19.6184 19.62 27.5250 27.52 72.5000 72.5%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 8

58 19.1062 19.11 28.9500 28.95 72.5000 72.5%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7

57 17.4321 17.43 26.8575 26.86 71.2500 71.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 6

56 17.7799 17.78 26.5604 26.56 70.0000 70.0%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 6

56 16.7087 16.71 26.7638 26.76 70.0000 70.0%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 8

54 17.3017 17.30 26.9375 26.94 67.5000 67.5%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 8

52 15.6683 15.67 27.6761 27.68 †9 73.2394 73.2%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 8

42 17.1850 17.18 28.3364 28.34 †25 76.3636 76.4%

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