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Ouch

Posted on May 18, 2017May 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Richmond has given up the lead with the final score of the game on 11 occasions in the past decade. pic.twitter.com/EUmYsGa4YM

— InsightLane (@insightlane) May 15, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Western Bulldogs 16.4 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
2
 Adelaide 14.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
3
 Hawthorn 14.6 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–8
4
 Gold Coast 14.5 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–7
5
 Geelong 14.3 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–7
6
 Sydney 14.0 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–10
7
 Brisbane Lions 13.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–11
8
 GWS 12.9 105%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
9
 Collingwood 12.9 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–10
10
 Fremantle 12.6 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 Melbourne 11.1 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–14
12
 St Kilda 9.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
13
 North Melbourne 9.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
14
 Carlton 9.2 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–15
15
 Port Adelaide 8.2 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–16
16
 Richmond 6.7 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
17
 Essendon 6.4 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–18
18
 West Coast 6.0 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18

After Round 1, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 2 – – 182.9%
+12.0
6
2
 Gold Coast 2 – – 181.6%
+12.5
4
3
 Western Bulldogs 2 – – 154.1%
+14.4
1
4
 North Melbourne 1∗ – – 168.7%
+8.2
13
5
 Adelaide 1∗ – – 117.7%
+13.8
2
6
 Hawthorn 1 1 – 117.1%
+13.6
3
7
 Melbourne 1∗ – – 112.1%
+10.1
11
8
 Collingwood 1 1 – 98.7%
+11.9
9
9
 Geelong 1 1 – 79.6%
+13.3
5
10
 GWS 1 1 – 76.4%
+11.9
8
11
 Carlton 1 1 – 70.9%
+8.2
14
12
 Richmond –∗ 1 – 94.7%
+6.7
16
13
 Fremantle –∗ 1 – 90.9%
+12.6
10
14
 St Kilda – 2 – 87.4%
+9.6
12
15
 Brisbane Lions – 2 – 77.2%
+13.5
7
16
 Port Adelaide –∗ 1 – 59.3%
+8.2
15
17
 Essendon –∗ 1 – 57.2%
+6.4
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 1 – 55.0%
+6.0
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8

12 2.3769 2.38 27.3750 27.38 85.7143 85.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8

11 4.0283 4.03 26.7750 26.77 78.5714 78.6%
HBin

4 7

11 3.5042 3.50 28.8643 28.86 78.5714 78.6%
AFLalytics

4 7

11 3.3327 3.33 27.4707 27.47 78.5714 78.6%
Graft

3 7

10 3.9031 3.90 29.3571 29.36 71.4286 71.4%
Matter of Stats

3 7

10 3.5612 3.56 27.8314 27.83 71.4286 71.4%
Glicko Ratings

3 7

10 3.2245 3.22 28.5521 28.55 71.4286 71.4%
The Wooden Finger

2 8

10 3.2082 3.21 28.5000 28.50 71.4286 71.4%
s10

2 8

10 3.1862 3.19 28.3743 28.37 71.4286 71.4%
footycharts

3 7

10 3.0396 3.04 28.4864 28.49 71.4286 71.4%
AFL Scorigami

3 7

10 2.7587 2.76 29.4029 29.40 71.4286 71.4%
Drop Kick Data

3 7

10 2.5594 2.56 27.6786 27.68 71.4286 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7

10 2.5299 2.53 27.7214 27.72 71.4286 71.4%
The Cruncher

2 7

9 3.4687 3.47 27.3514 27.35 64.2857 64.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7

9 3.4523 3.45 29.4514 29.45 64.2857 64.3%
Aggregate

2 7

9 2.9669 2.97 28.6971 28.70 64.2857 64.3%
Informed Stats

2 7

9 2.9224 2.92 30.5000 30.50 64.2857 64.3%
ZaphBot

2 7

9 2.8505 2.85 33.2143 33.21 64.2857 64.3%
Live Ladders

2 7

9 2.5736 2.57 29.6429 29.64 64.2857 64.3%
The Footycast

2 7

9 2.3345 2.33 31.5571 31.56 64.2857 64.3%
PlusSixOne

2 7

9 2.2805 2.28 30.3214 30.32 64.2857 64.3%
AFL Lab

2 7

9 2.0440 2.04 32.5079 32.51 64.2857 64.3%
Elo Predicts!

3 6

9 2.0220 2.02 32.1429 32.14 64.2857 64.3%
Stattraction

2 6

8 2.7690 2.77 29.9714 29.97 57.1429 57.1%
Winnable

1 7

8 2.6729 2.67 29.8636 29.86 57.1429 57.1%
Punters

2 6

8 2.3708 2.37 29.1814 29.18 57.1429 57.1%
Squiggle

1 7

8 2.2263 2.23 31.4879 31.49 57.1429 57.1%
In The Game

2 6

8 2.1944 2.19 29.5821 29.58 57.1429 57.1%
Hyperion

3 5

8 1.4319 1.43 31.5000 31.50 57.1429 57.1%
Cheap Stats

3 5

8 0.8409 0.84 33.0000 33.00 57.1429 57.1%
Massey Ratings

2 4

6 1.1606 1.16 35.5833 35.58 †2 50.0000 50.0%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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