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Ouch

Posted on May 18, 2017May 19, 2017 by Max Barry

Richmond has given up the lead with the final score of the game on 11 occasions in the past decade. pic.twitter.com/EUmYsGa4YM

— InsightLane (@insightlane) May 15, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.1 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 17.8 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.7 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Geelong 14.8 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
5
 Adelaide 14.7 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–5
6
 Brisbane Lions 13.2 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
7
 Melbourne 13.0 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 Western Bulldogs 13.2 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
9
 Gold Coast 11.2 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–12
10
 Collingwood 11.0 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
11
 Carlton 10.9 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–13
12
 St Kilda 10.4 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
13
 GWS 10.1 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 North Melbourne 10.2 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
15
 Port Adelaide 7.8 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 6.5 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.9 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18
18
 Essendon 3.3 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17–18

After Round 15, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 13∗ 1 – 144.4%
+6.1
1
2
 Sydney 12∗ 2 – 143.7%
+5.8
2
3
 Hawthorn 9∗ 4 1 113.5%
+6.2
3
4
 Geelong 9 6 – 120.6%
+5.8
4
5
 Adelaide 9∗ 5 – 113.2%
+5.7
5
6
 Melbourne 9 6 – 104.2%
+4.0
7
7
 Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 92.8%
+4.2
8
8
 Brisbane Lions 8∗ 6 – 108.4%
+5.2
6
9
 Gold Coast 7∗ 7 – 105.3%
+4.2
9
10
 North Melbourne 7∗ 7 – 90.7%
+3.2
14
11
 Collingwood 6∗ 7 1 101.6%
+4.5
10
12
 St Kilda 6 9 – 100.6%
+4.4
12
13
 GWS 6∗ 8 – 100.3%
+4.1
13
14
 Carlton 6∗ 8 – 91.1%
+4.9
11
15
 Port Adelaide 4∗ 10 – 98.6%
+3.8
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 10 – 72.7%
+2.5
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 12 – 61.3%
+1.9
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 13 – 70.4%
+2.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5

98 30.0961 30.10 25.5198 25.52 76.5625 76.6%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5

97 29.9182 29.92 24.9684 24.97 75.7813 75.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5

97 20.4485 20.45 25.6840 25.68 75.7813 75.8%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6

94 30.2992 30.30 26.3047 26.30 73.4375 73.4%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5

94 30.2923 30.29 25.7143 25.71 73.4375 73.4%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5

93 31.3199 31.32 25.4558 25.46 72.6563 72.7%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5

93 29.2397 29.24 25.8894 25.89 72.6563 72.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5

93 29.0083 29.01 25.5888 25.59 72.6563 72.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6

93 27.9339 27.93 25.7270 25.73 72.6563 72.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5

93 25.9724 25.97 26.3820 26.38 72.6563 72.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5

92 30.7758 30.78 26.0437 26.04 71.8750 71.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5

92 28.8891 28.89 27.3828 27.38 71.8750 71.9%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5

91 28.4396 28.44 26.3416 26.34 71.0938 71.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6

91 24.8754 24.88 27.5669 27.57 †1 71.6535 71.7%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5

90 29.1156 29.12 26.6388 26.64 70.3125 70.3%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6

90 27.8275 27.83 25.8987 25.90 70.3125 70.3%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6

90 26.2691 26.27 25.7930 25.79 70.3125 70.3%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5

89 29.0247 29.02 25.7255 25.73 69.5313 69.5%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5

89 28.9186 28.92 25.4671 25.47 69.5313 69.5%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6

89 28.3443 28.34 26.6562 26.66 69.5313 69.5%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4

87 27.5273 27.53 27.4544 27.45 67.9688 68.0%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4

87 27.3563 27.36 25.9922 25.99 67.9688 68.0%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5

87 24.9382 24.94 25.9523 25.95 67.9688 68.0%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4

87 23.9006 23.90 26.9308 26.93 67.9688 68.0%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5

87 22.6884 22.69 26.3234 26.32 67.9688 68.0%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5

87 22.0907 22.09 26.9587 26.96 †7 71.9008 71.9%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5

86 26.0202 26.02 27.4844 27.48 67.1875 67.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5

86 25.2019 25.20 26.1168 26.12 67.1875 67.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6

84 21.8890 21.89 26.8438 26.84 65.6250 65.6%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5

83 22.9663 22.97 26.6723 26.67 †9 69.7479 69.7%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5

72 23.3701 23.37 27.2670 27.27 †25 69.9029 69.9%

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