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Squiggle Football – out August 14

Posted on August 7, 2025August 7, 2025 by Max Barry

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Wins % Range
1
 Hawthorn 15.9 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Western Bulldogs 15.5 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–3
3
 Sydney 15.3 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–5
4
 Fremantle 14.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 14.2 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
6
 Geelong 13.9 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
7
 Gold Coast 12.9 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
8
 Adelaide 12.4 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–9
9
 Collingwood 11.7 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–10
10
 GWS 11.1 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
11
 Melbourne 10.9 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
12
 St Kilda 10.5 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–14
13
 North Melbourne 10.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Port Adelaide 9.2 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Carlton 8.1 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
16
 West Coast 7.8 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
17
 Essendon 7.3 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15–17
18
 Richmond 5.4 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 5, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Sydney 4 1 – 175.5%
+11.3
3
2
 Fremantle 4 1 – 131.4%
+10.8
4
3
 Hawthorn 4 1 – 121.0%
+11.9
1
4
 Western Bulldogs 4 1 – 120.7%
+11.5
2
5
 Gold Coast 3 2 – 132.0%
+9.9
7
6
 Brisbane Lions 3 2 – 115.0%
+11.2
5
7
 North Melbourne 3 2 – 105.9%
+7.0
13
8
 Geelong 3 2 – 101.5%
+10.9
6
9
 Melbourne 3 2 – 92.7%
+7.9
11
10
 Port Adelaide 2 3 – 110.6%
+7.2
14
11
 Adelaide 2 3 – 106.4%
+10.4
8
12
 GWS 2 3 – 92.5%
+9.1
10
13
 Collingwood 2 3 – 92.3%
+9.7
9
14
 St Kilda 2 3 – 91.2%
+8.5
12
15
 West Coast 2 3 – 64.3%
+5.8
16
16
 Carlton 1 4 – 76.6%
+7.1
15
17
 Essendon 1 4 – 76.0%
+6.3
17
18
 Richmond – 5 – 56.4%
+5.4
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8

36 11.6205 11.62 23.5582 23.56 80.0000 80.0%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8

35 11.4345 11.43 25.4524 25.45 77.7778 77.8%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8

35 6.4778 6.48 25.3136 25.31 77.7778 77.8%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8

34 11.0839 11.08 24.7076 24.71 75.5556 75.6%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7

33 11.5880 11.59 24.6507 24.65 73.3333 73.3%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8

33 10.9360 10.94 24.6147 24.61 73.3333 73.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8

33 10.5215 10.52 25.3778 25.38 73.3333 73.3%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7

33 10.5000 10.50 24.6800 24.68 73.3333 73.3%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8

33 9.2784 9.28 24.8187 24.82 73.3333 73.3%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8

33 8.6429 8.64 26.4000 26.40 73.3333 73.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8

32 10.5004 10.50 25.0178 25.02 71.1111 71.1%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6

32 9.2994 9.30 25.5031 25.50 71.1111 71.1%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7

32 8.9808 8.98 26.0960 26.10 71.1111 71.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6

32 8.6262 8.63 25.4767 25.48 71.1111 71.1%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6

32 8.4961 8.50 25.4327 25.43 71.1111 71.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6

32 8.1987 8.20 26.0667 26.07 71.1111 71.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7

31 8.0492 8.05 26.2000 26.20 68.8889 68.9%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6

31 5.6080 5.61 25.9956 26.00 68.8889 68.9%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7

31 5.2974 5.30 27.3111 27.31 68.8889 68.9%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6

30 10.5834 10.58 25.5260 25.53 66.6667 66.7%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7

29 9.4438 9.44 25.8980 25.90 64.4444 64.4%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7

29 9.1793 9.18 25.8942 25.89 64.4444 64.4%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6

29 9.0172 9.02 26.8222 26.82 64.4444 64.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6

29 8.6043 8.60 25.6264 25.63 64.4444 64.4%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5

29 7.3165 7.32 27.8000 27.80 64.4444 64.4%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5

28 7.5136 7.51 25.9087 25.91 62.2222 62.2%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5

28 6.5966 6.60 26.7400 26.74 62.2222 62.2%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5

28 5.0739 5.07 27.2689 27.27 62.2222 62.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4

25 5.4178 5.42 27.8000 27.80 55.5556 55.6%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5

22 2.3415 2.34 26.0278 26.03 †9 61.1111 61.1%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5

11 2.8787 2.88 30.5500 30.55 †25 55.0000 55.0%

AFL Ladder Predictor

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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